Santa Monica Property Blog

GLOBAL DEMOGRAPHICS ARE SHAPING REAL ESTATE TRENDS

GLOBAL DEMOGRAPHICS ARE SHAPING REAL ESTATE TRENDS

Edited by Jodi Summers

Global Demographics: Shaping Real Estate’s Future offers recent research from the Urban Land Institute about the effect of global demographic change on real estate.

“Over the next 20 years, demographic megatrends — and their variations by continent — present the real estate industry with tremendous opportunity to not only grow, but to better serve the people real estate is designed for,” said David Jacobstein, senior advisor to co-sponsor Deloitte LLP ’s Real Estate practice. “Mature economies — especially growing ones — offer attractive investment opportunities, but emerging markets require vast quantities of infrastructure, as well as residential, retail, office, and hotel properties to support their burgeoning populations.”

Findings from the report include:

Aging

The aging of the world’s population is arguably the single most dramatic demographic trend today, with three key trends emerging:

v In 2006, almost 500 million people worldwide were 65 and older.

v By 2030, individuals 65 and older are projected to increase to 1 billion — equaling one out of every eight people on earth.

v The most rapid increases in the 65-and-older population are occurring in developing countries, which will see a jump of 140 percent by 2030.

Real estate implications

v Retirement housing is the primary real estate beneficiary of global aging, with the U.S. senior housing industry set to benefit from the opportunity to produce new products.

v Rapid consolidation of senior housing operators will result in more professional and cost-effective management.

v Investor interest will continue to grow because economic cycles have little effect on dementia and nursing care facilities.

v There is increased demand for affordable senior housing and senior housing options in ethnic communities.

Urbanization

As of 2007, 3.3 billion people — half of the world’s population — live in urban areas. With that number expected to increase to 60 percent by 2030, five key trends are emerging:

v One billion people live in slums, with 90 percent of this population occurring in developing countries.

v At least 133 million city dwellers in the developing world lack durable housing.

v Twenty percent of urban dwellers in emerging nations are overcrowded, with more than three people per bedroom.

v Only two-thirds of the world’s urban population has access to tap water, with only 46 percent having access in their homes.

v More than 25 percent of the world’s urban population lacks adequate sanitation.

Real estate implications of these urbanization trends include:

v Investing in infrastructure — whether new or established — is essential to the viability of long-term commercial real estate projects. Privatization of infrastructure through public/private partnerships with investment funds are becoming increasingly important, with notable examples occurring in the United States, Spain and France.

v Better land use controls should be implemented to prevent high-density, informal communities from developing and reduce outward urban sprawl because both trends present difficulties to residents in terms of infrastructure, safety and lifestyle.

v There is increased demand for housing and retail as a result of a growing workforce.

v In stagnant or shrinking populations, new construction must be viewed as replacement properties — even if that entails older building demolition to maintain vacancy rates — as has occurred in continental Europe.

v Emerging markets can leap from traditional, organic models to contemporary multi-use projects and residential communities if ground level infrastructure is established.

v The lack of mortgage availability in the emerging market is the greatest limitation on new development.

http://www.reuters.com/article/pressRelease/idUS187513+12-Jun-2008+BW2008061

http://www.topnews.in/health/regions/united-kingdom?page=26

http://totallycebu.com/aging-lecture

http://www.flickr.com/photos/lwr/165513789/

SANTA MONICA REAL ESTATE SNAPSHOT – JULY 2010

by Jodi Summers

Locally, our real estate news is positive. UCLA Anderson senior economist Jerry Nickelsburg, described California as, “…A divided state, as coastal California recovers while inland California, devastated by the collapse of the real estate market, continues to languish.”

We are lucky to be on the coast, as our market in Santa Monica is beginning to rise again. Comparing Santa Monica single family residence sales from Jun-08 vs. Jun-10 the number of sold properties by month is up 23%.

And what’s even more interesting, is that the price seems to be rising more quickly than sellers are realizing. Contrasting Median For Sale vs. Median Sold from Jun-08 vs. Jun-10, you’ll note that the median price of for sale properties is up 1% BUT the median price of sold properties is up 5%.

Our single family residence statistics confirm the midyear UCLA Anderson Forecast which notes that the Los Angeles regional economy will likely recover faster than the rest of the state, even though the economic recovery in California is going to climb slower than the rest of the country this year. Like the slow rise is sale prices, we are seeing a slow decline in unemployment. In California, state unemployment dropped from 12.5% in April to 12.4% in May.

Forecast director Edward Leamer, in a report titled “A Homeless Recovery,” offers these optimistic signs to show our economy is coming back, “If the next year is going to bring exceptional growth, consumers will need to express their optimism in the way that really counts - buying homes and cars…”

Measuring Jun-08 vs. Jun-10, the number of homes in Santa Monica under contract properties by month is up 22%.

We’re here to help you with residential properties. Please contact Jodi Summers – jodi@jodisummers.com or 310.392.1211 for details.

**

http://www.globest.com/news/1684_1684/losangeles/300380-1.html?ET=globest:e22415:277110a:&st=email

http://www.costar.com/News/Article.aspx?id=B4DDC752B7245C006B76C18CE64493DB&ref=100&iid=188&cid=383F14EEE265B182474DA2442BACBBBF

http://www.edd.ca.gov/About_EDD/pdf/urate201006.pdf

https://www.terradatum.com/agentmetricsonline/property_type_selection.td

ALTERNATIVE ENERGY POLL – SOLAR RULES

Edited by Jodi Summers

An overwhelming majority -92% of Americans polled - Support Solar Energy Development, according to the 2009 Schott Solar Barometer. The Schott Solar Barometer is a national survey conducted by independent polling firm Kelton Research.

The overwhelming support for solar power is consistent across political party affiliation with 89 percent of Republicans, 94 percent of Democrats and 93 percent of Independents agreeing that it is important for the U.S. to develop and use solar power.

Furthermore, close to eight in 10 (77%) Americans feel that the development of solar power, and other renewable energy sources, should be a major priority of the federal government, including the financial support needed. This sentiment also remains the same since June 2008 (77%).

If only given the opportunity to support one source of alternative energy, 43 percent of Americans would opt for solar over other sources such as wind (17%), natural gas (12%) and nuclear (10%).

Almost half of all Americans (49%) say they’re currently pondering solar power options for their home or business – and another three percent already have solar power. Among those who would like to take advantage of solar power at home or at work, seven in 10 (70%) envision they would make the change within the next five years.

The general consensus is that many Americans feel they lack information – fewer than one in five (12%) - can claim that they’re extremely informed about the subject of solar power in general. What’s more, almost three in four (74%) Americans admit they wish they knew more about solar power options for their home or business.

http://www.cleanedge.com/news/story.php?nID=6455

http://www.resourceactionprograms.org/blog/index.php/tag/southern-california/

http://saferenvironment.wordpress.com/2009/02/02/solar-power-%E2%80%93-sustainable-green-energy-to-protect-our-economy-and-environment/

http://www.geni.org/globalenergy/library/articles-renewable-energy-transmission/solar.shtml

http://www.sunandclimate.com/images/solar-power-dallas.jpg

http://www.generatormart.com/200806092224444674.shtml

http://earth911.com/blog/2007/10/15/pros-and-cons-of-solar-power/

LOS ANGELES IS AWARDED $30 MILLION FOR RETROFITTING REAL ESTATE

By Jodi Summers

All the banter that Los Angeles mayor, Antonio Villiarigosa has been causing in Washington with his green / energy saving ideas for Los Angeles are paying off. Recently, Vice President Biden announced that Los Angeles County was awarded $30 million to “ramp-up” energy efficiency building retrofits.

Los Angeles was one of 25 communities selected to receive a slice of $452 million in Recovery Act funding under the Department of Energy’s Retrofit Ramp-Up Initiative. The initiative promotes the concept that communities, governments, private sector companies and non-profit organizations will work together on pioneering and innovative programs for concentrated and broad-based retrofit projects.

A simple example of how the Retrofit Ramp-Up Initiative would work would be to have the same construction crew upgrade all the homes on the same block at the same time. The White House notes that this way of doing business, “…Saves contractors time and money. They can pass the savings on to their customers. And it’s just a much more efficient way to operate.”

Biden said the program, part of $80 billion in the Recovery Act for a clean energy economy, will help consumers save money on their energy bills, lower greenhouse gas emissions and create green jobs.

The models created through this program are expected to save households and businesses about a $100 million annually in utility bills, while leveraging private sector resources, to create what funding recipients estimate at about 30,000 jobs across the country during the next three years.

“Investing in retrofits is a triple win,” Vice President Biden observed, adding the program will result in retrofits for hundreds of thousands of U.S. homes and businesses over the next three years.

“This initiative will help overcome the barriers to making energy efficiency easy and accessible to all – inconvenience, lack of information, and lack of financing,” said Energy Secretary Steven Chu. “Block by block, neighborhood by neighborhood, we will make our communities more energy efficient and help families save money. At the same time, we’ll create thousands of jobs and strengthen our economy.”

In addition to the $452 million Recovery Act investment, the 25 projects will leverage an estimated $2.8 billion from other sources over the next 3 years to retrofit hundreds of thousands of homes and businesses across the country. The government noted gleefully, that the program funding was eight times oversubscribed, with more than $3.5 billion in applications received for the just over $450 million in Recovery Act funds available, (kind of like applying for UCLA). That puts it in course for additional investment in energy-saving and job-creating projects like these nationwide.

Retrofit Ramp-Up Awards

The following governments and non-profit organizations have been selected for Retrofit Ramp-Up awards. These projects are planned to begin in fall 2010. Final award amounts are subject to negotiation:

Austin, Texas - $10 million

Boulder County, Colorado - $25 million

Camden, New Jersey - $5 million

Chicago Metropolitan Agency for Planning - $25 million

Greater Cincinnati Energy Alliance, Ohio - $17 million

Greensboro, North Carolina - $5 million

Indianapolis, Indiana - $10 million

Kansas City, Missouri - $20 million

Los Angeles County, California - $30 million

Lowell, Massachusetts - $5 million

State of Maine - $30 million

State of Maryland - $20 million

State of Michigan - $30 million

State of Missouri - $5 million

Omaha, Nebraska - $10 million

State of New Hampshire - $10 million

New York State Research and Development Authority - $40 million

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania - $25 million

Phoenix, Arizona - $25 million

Portland, Oregon - $20 million

San Antonio, Texas - $10 million

Seattle, Washington - $20 million

Southeast Energy Efficiency Alliance - $20 million

Toledo-Lucas County Port Authority, Ohio - $15 million

Wisconsin Energy Conservation Corporation - $20 million

**

http://www.energy.gov/news/8870.htm

http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/vice-president-biden-kicks-five-days-earth-day-activities-with-announcement-major-n

http://content.usatoday.com/communities/greenhouse/post/2010/04/white-house-awards-452-million-to-retrofit-homes-businesses/1

http://www.inhabitat.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/Smart-Grid-Obama.jpg

HUD AND DOT WORKING TOGETHER FOR MORE LIVABLE CITIES

By Jodi Summers

Government statistics show that the average working American family spends nearly 60 percent of its budget on housing and transportation costs - making these two areas the largest expenses for the average household. Now the government wants to help.

The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and the U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) are working together in hopes of helping American families gain better access to affordable housing, more transportation options, and lower transportation costs by creating affordable, sustainable communities.

Like putting in our light rail system, this is a long process. Over the next four years, every major metropolitan area in the country will do an analysis of integrated housing, transportation, and land use planning and investment.

Recently, HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan and DOT Secretary Ray LaHood presented the official vision for sustainable communities at a U.S. House of Representatives Appropriations Subcommittee on Transportation and Housing hearing titled, “Livable Communities, Transit Oriented Development, and incorporating Green Building Practices into Federal Housing and Transportation.”

“One of my highest priorities is to help promote more livable communities through sustainable surface transportation programs,” offered Secretary LaHood. “This partnership will help expand every American family’s choices for affordable housing and transportation,” said Secretary Donovan. “HUD’s central mission - ensuring that every American has access to decent, affordable housing - can be achieved only in context of the housing, transportation, and energy costs and choices that American families experience each day.”

DOT and HUD have created a high-level interagency task force to better coordinate federal transportation and housing investments and identify strategies to give American families:

• More choices for affordable housing near employment opportunities;

• More transportation options, to lower transportation costs, shorten travel times, and improve the environment; and

• Safe, livable, healthy communities.

The HUD/DOT task force has the goal of enhancing integrated regional housing, transportation, and land use planning and investment. Planning grants will be made available to metropolitan areas, and create mechanisms to ensure those plans are carried through to localities. DOT will encourage Metropolitan Planning Organizations (MPOs) to conduct this integrated planning as a part of their next long-range transportation plan update and will provide technical assistance on scenario planning, a tool for assessing future growth alternatives that better coordinate land use, and transportation planning.

http://www.hud.gov/offices/cir/test090318.cfm

http://www.inman.com/news/2009/03/19/partnership-targets-affordability-transportation

http://transit-safety.volpe.dot.gov/safety/sso/MeetingSummary/images/1-dotlogo.gif

http://t4america.org/logos/t4logo_square.jpg

SEE…DOE…HUD…DOT…EPA…NGA… IS BIG BROTHER WATCHING? SOCIALIZING URBAN DEVELOPMENT IN THE UNITED STATES

By Jodi Summers

Loyal readers of this blog are well aware that the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and the U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) are working together in hopes of helping American families gain better access to affordable housing, more transportation options, and lower transportation costs by creating affordable, sustainable communities.

Taking further steps in that direction, more government agencies are getting involved to attempt to make our new millennium existence easier all around. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and the Department of Energy (DOE) have formed the State Energy Efficiency (SEE) Action Network to help states achieve the maximum cost-effective energy efficiency improvements possible in offices, buildings, industries and homes by 2020.

SEE…DOE…HUD…DOT…EPA…that’s a lot of government agencies making sure cities develop in the “proper” manner…socialized urban growth.

But, oops we wander, back to SEE…under the oversight of the EPA and the DOE, SEE will work with representatives from state and municipal governments, business leaders, public utility commissioners and others to make life in this country of energy efficiency for all.

The group plans to work from the framework set by the National Action Plan for Energy

Efficiency Vision for 2025, which was laid out in 2006…only the new goal is to make it a 2020 initiative…following the model set forth by California. You know AB 32 - California’s landmark 2006 global warming initiative.

(Not only has AB 32 been adopted by the Obama Administration, the International Code Council announced the state’s newly adopted Green Building Standards Code will serve as a foundation for commercial buildings worldwide AND California participated in the launch of China’s first GHG emissions registry. When his term comes to an end in November, Arnold Schwarzenegger should follow in the steps of former Vice President Al Gore in becoming a champion for energy programs that influence national and international policies…perhaps even work warmly with Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa on Los Angeles’ 30/10 initiative…ah but we dream….)

SEE will offer technical assistance, and help with specific policy and program issues to advance energy efficiency efforts. Efforts may include financing solutions, residential efficiency programs and improving availability of energy usage information, etc…

Already the DOE and EPA have a request list that includes 32 state public utility commissions wanting assistance with energy efficiency programs.

SEE…DOE…HUD…DOT…EPA…and don’t forget the NGA…the National Governors Association is another national agency championing states with energy efficiency efforts.

Earlier this year, the National Governors Association Center for Best Practices selected six states - Colorado, Hawaii, Massachusetts, North Carolina, Utah and Wisconsin - to participate in the organization’s Policy Academy on State Building Efficiency Retrofit Programs.

The academy, funded by the DOE (you remember them, working with DOT among other liaisons…), is designed to help states develop strategies and action plans to improve the energy efficiency of existing building and reduce costs and emissions.

SEE…DOE…HUD…DOT…EPA…NGA… is Big Brother is watching?

**

http://www.businessgreen.com/business-green/news/2257243/agencies-action-buildings

http://www.socalgreenrealestateblog.com/?p=691

http://www.socalindustrialrealestateblog.com/?p=434

http://www.santamonicapropertyblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/department-of-transportation.jpg

http://www.socalgreenrealestateblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/01/hud-300×300.gif

http://watersecretsblog.com/archives/epa_seal.gif

http://management.energy.gov/images/New_DOE_Seal_Color_042808.png

GLOBAL EDGE TOP 10 BUSINESS DESTINATIONS

GLOBAL EDGE TOP 10 BUSINESS DESTINATIONS

edited by Jodi Summers

Global Property Guide has put together a list of the most attractive

property investment destinations across the world. Their research team

has ranked 77 of the world’s largest cities according to the average

gross rental yields.

The top 10 destinations are dominated by Asian cities, with Jakarta,

Kuala Lumpur and Manila all making the list.

http://www.globaledge.co.uk/news/top-10-best-investment-destinations-35909

Energy to Sell - States with Renewable Portfolio Standards

States with Renewable Portfolio Standards

Edited by Jodi Summers

Scroll down for a nifty map and chart from the U.S. Department of Energy showing states with renewable portfolio standards - a state policy that requires electricity providers to obtain a minimum percentage of their power from renewable energy resources by a certain date.

California is stellar with the objective of 33% renewable energy by 2030, but not nearly as aggressive as Maine, which is shooting for 40% renewable by 2017.

Currently there are 24 states plus the District of Columbia that have RPS policies in place. Together these states account for more than half of the electricity sales in the United States. Five other states, North Dakota, South Dakota, Utah, Virginia, and Vermont, have nonbinding goals for adoption of renewable energy instead of an RPS.

The chart below gives a rough summary of state renewable portfolio standards and links to organizations that are administering these standards or explain the details involved. Percentages refer to a portion of electricity sales and megawatts (MW) to absolute capacity requirements. Most of these standards phase in over years, and the date refers to when the full requirement takes effect.

http://apps1.eere.energy.gov/states/maps/renewable_portfolio_states.cfm?prin

WE WIN! LOS ANGELES IS THE MOST OVERPRICED CITY IN THE UNITED STATES

By Jodi Summers

Los Angeles likes being on top…though we’d rather be famous than infamous. But today, we’re infamous, as Forbes sites L.A. as the most overpriced housing market in the U.S. Forbes then ranked these metros using four measures: average salary for workers with a bachelor’s degree or higher, with data from PayScale.com; annual unemployment statistics from the Bureau of Labor Statistics; cost of living, according to Moody’s Economy.com; and the Housing Opportunity Index from the National Association of Homebuilders and Wells Fargo, which measures the number of homes sold in a given area that would be affordable to a family earning the local median income, based on standard mortgage underwriting criteria.

Here’s the top 20 list so you can chuckle and guffaw….

No. 1: Los Angeles, Calif.

(Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale, Calif.)

Cost of Living: 47 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 47 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 47 of 50

Average Salary: 15 of 50

~~

No. 2: Chicago, Ill.

(Chicago-Naperville-Joliet, Ill.)

Cost of Living: 44 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 36 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 43 of 50

Average Salary: 23 of 50

~~

No. 3: Miami, Fla.

(Miami-Miami Beach-Kendall, Fla.)

Cost of Living: 26 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 46 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 39 of 50

Average Salary: 31 of 50

~~

No. 4: New York

(New York-White Plains-Wayne, N.Y./N.J.)

Cost of Living: 47 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 50 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 37 of 50

Average Salary: 6 of 50

~~

No. 5: Providence, R.I.

(Providence-New Bedford-Fall River, R.I.)

Cost of Living: 26 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 28 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 48 of 50

Average Salary: 37 of 50

~~

No. 6: Riverside, Calif.

(Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, Calif.)

Cost of Living: 23 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 34 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 49 of 50

Average Salary: 26 of 50

~~

No. 7: Long Island, N.Y.

(Nassau-Suffolk, N.Y.)

Cost of Living: 40 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 48 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 17 of 50

Average Salary: 24 of 50

~~

No. 8: Cleveland, Ohio

(Cleveland-Elyria-Mentor, Ohio)

Cost of Living: 32 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 5 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 44 of 50

Average Salary: 40 of 50

~~

No. 9 (tie): San Diego, Calif.

(San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, Calif.)

Cost of Living: 35 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 41 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 27 of 50

Average Salary: 16 of 50

~~

No. 9 (tie): Newark, N.J.

(Newark-Union, N.J./Pa.)

Cost of Living: 40 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 44 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 23 of 50

Average Salary: 12 of 50

~~

No. 11: Philadelphia, Pa.

(Philadelphia, Pa.)

Cost of Living: 35 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 38 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 23 of 50

Average Salary: 21 of 50

~~

No. 12: Portland, Ore.

(Portland-Vancouver-Beaverton, Ore.)

Cost of Living: 19 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 39 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 28 of 50

Average Salary: 30 of 50

~~

No. 13 (tie): Memphis, Tenn.

(Memphis, Tenn./Miss./Ark.)

Cost of Living: 8 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 15 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 42 of 50

Average Salary: 48 of 50

~~

No. 13 (tie): Tampa, Fla.

(Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, Fla.)

Cost of Living: 16 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 22 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 38 of 50

Average Salary: 37 of 50

~~

No. 15: Orlando, Fla.

(Orlando-Kissimmee, Fla.)

Cost of Living: 5 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 50 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 32 of 50

Average Salary: 45 of 50

~~

No. 16: St. Louis, Mo.

(St. Louis, Mo./Ill.)

Cost of Living: 28 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 11 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 35 of 50

Average Salary: 36 of 50

~~

No. 17: Jacksonville, Fla.

(Jacksonville, Fla.)

Cost of Living: 11 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 17 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 35 of 50

Average Salary: 44 of 50

~~

No. 18: San Francisco, Calif.

(San Francisco-San Mateo-Redwood, Calif.)

Cost of Living: 46 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 49 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 8 of 50

Average Salary: 2 of 50

~~

No. 19 (tie): Boston, Mass.

(Boston-Quincy, Mass.)

Cost of Living: 45 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 37 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 13 of 50

Average Salary: 9 of 50

~~

No. 19 (tie): Warren, Mich.

(Warren-Troy-Farmington Hills, Mich.)

Cost of Living: 28 of 50

Housing Opportunity: 2 of 50

Unemployment Rate: 46 of 50

Average Salary: 28 of 50

~~

http://www.dqnews.com/Articles/2009/News/California/Southern-CA/RRSCA090415.aspx

http://www.forbes.com/2009/05/06/cities-expensive-top-lifestyle-real-estate-overpriced-cities_print.html

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-homes5-2009may05,0,2234983.story

http://www.socalmultiunitrealestateblog.com/?p=361

http://www.carofthecentury.com/versai34.jpg

http://www.visitingnewengland.com/PageMill_Resources/image2252.gif

www.superstock.com/stock-photos-images/840-429

http://www.tampaspartans.com/images/logos/Univ%20of%20Tampa%20Shield%204.jpg

http://freepages.history.rootsweb.ancestry.com/%7Eclassicpostcards/Parent%20Directory/usa/florida/duval/skyline.jpg

HELP SANTA MONICA GET A GRANT FOR GLOW 2010